Saturday, November 5, 2011

CHAPTER TWO: YOU CAN KISS THOSE FIRST SEVEN YEARS GOOD-BYE

[transcript]
Dangerous Don:  Welcome back, folks!  Welcome back to the MACHO INVESTING blog!  Home of the stock market millionaires!  I’m your host, Dangerous Don, one of the greatest stock market investors of all time, and. . . . .
Johnny:  And I’m the official co-host, Johnny.
Dangerous Don:   And this is Johnny Doorknob . . . .  world-famous Scranton financial guru!
Johnny:   If you say so.  We both live in Scranton.  Which kinda says it all.
Dangerous Don:   So, Johnny. . . . you recently retired?
Johnny:  Yes, sir.   From now on, I take it easy.   Enjoy Nature.   Stop and smell the roses.  Shoot a few deer.
Dangerous Don:   Sounds great!   And speaking of retirement. . . . .  folks, today we’re going to talk about 401(k)’s.   Everybody’s got a 401(k), right?
Tana Marie:   Only people who have jobs.
Dangerous Don:   Ahh, yes. . . . MOVING RIGHT ALONG!   Folks, that voice you just heard was my lovely wife, Tana Marie.
Johnny:  Don. . . . . before we talk about track records for your average 401(k). . . .  which has been completely miserable. . . . . I’d like to say a few words about the management fees.
Dangerous Don:  Okay.  You’re on the air.
Johnny:   Your average 401(k) gets hit with fees around 3%.  That’s 3% of assets.  Every year.
Dangerous Don:  Those are fees for. . . . like. . . . investment advice, right?
Johnny:    Some of them.   The mutual funds inside your 401(k) usually charge about 2% of assets.   But, in terms of fees, that’s just the tip of the iceberg.   They’ve also got revenue-sharing fees.  Wrap fees.  12(b)-1 fees.   Sub-transfer agent fees.
Dangerous Don:  Wow!  So. . . . all this adds up to around 3% a year?
Johnny:   Or more.  Let’s say on average 3%.
Dangerous Don:  Actually. . . . that ain’t so bad.  Heck, sales tax is 4%.
Johnny:   Don, let me tell you, those 3% fees are going to wipe you out.
Dangerous Don:   How do you figure?
Johnny:   Let’s go back to that first dollar you ever put into your 401(k).   Two weeks after you were hired.   From your first paycheck.
Dangerous Don:  Okay, sure!  I mean. . . . . my first paycheck. . . . that goes back a few years!
Johnny:  Let’s say you work for 40 years, before you retire.  I worked for 45 years, but that's longer than most folks, so let's say 40 years.
Dangerous Don:  Okay.
Johnny:   So. . . . okay, now you retire.  And now you take your money out of your 401(k), right?   So, that first dollar is finally going to come back out, right?
Dangerous Don:  Sure hope so!  You put it in, you take it out at the end.
Johnny:   But how much of it will be left?  Management fees for your 401(k) are 3% every year, remember?
Dangerous Don:   Right.
Johnny:   So. . . . your first year on the job, when you were first hired, they took out 3 cents out of every dollar you put in, right?
Dangerous Don:    Ahhhh. . . . . . . I guess that’s right.
Johnny:  Second year, another 3 cents.  Now, you’ve paid a total of 6 cents out of that first dollar you put in.
Dangerous Don:   Right. . . .
Johnny:   Third year, they take out another 3 cents.    Now, you’ve paid 9 cents in fees out of that first dollar you put in.
Dangerous Don:   Jeez. . . .
Johnny:  This goes on for 40 years.  Every year, they take out another 3 cents in fees from that first dollar.
Dangerous Don:   Jeez. . . .
Johnny:   So, when you retire after 40 years, that first dollar was gone a long time ago.
Dangerous Don:   Wait a minute. . . . that's crazy!
Johnny:  In fact, at 3% a year, that first dollar was gone as of Year 33.   Seven years before you retire.
Dangerous Don:   No way!
Johnny:  Think about it.  If you work for forty years, every dollar you put into your 401 (k) during the first seven years years of working. . . . .
Dangerous Dave:  Disappears?
Johnny:   Disappears.
Dangerous Don:  I’m a little. . . . . what can I say?. . . . . stunned by all this.
Johnny:   You’re wondering. . . . . can it really be that bad?
Dangerous Don:  Exactly.
Johnny:  The good news is that the fees are actually the second worst thing about 401(k)’s.  If the stock market keeps crashing every six or seven years, losing 50% or 60% each time, most people won’t have anything left in their 401(k) anyway.  
Dangerous Don:   Boy, that’s good news.
Johnny:  More on this next time, right Don?
Dangerous Don:   Right you are, Johnny.  But right now, unfortunately. . . . folks, we’ve run out of time.

Johnny:  So. . . . here's what I'm supposed to ask you. . . . . Don, what's the motto of  MACHO INVESTING?

Dangerous Don:   BE DANGEROUS!

Johnny:  Meaning?

Dangerous Don:   Take risks!   Never pass up a chance to do something dangerous.   Sky-diving.  Bungee-jumping.   Investing.  It's all the same.

Johnny:  Totally crazy.

Dangerous Don:  Remember what all the finance books say.  RISK EQUALS REWARD.   So, obviously, THE MORE RISK, THE MORE REWARD.

Johnny:  Complete looney-tunes.  

Dangerous Don:  Love to talk about it more, but we're outta time.   Okay. . . . so, folks, we’ll see you next time.  Stay tuned to the MACHO INVESTING blog.  You’re going to make a TON of money!   So long!












Sunday, October 30, 2011

CHAPTER ONE: BASIC RULES OF MACHO INVESTING

[transcript]
Dangerous Don:   Hi, Dangerous Don here, from Scranton, Pennsylvania.   You folks probably recognize the name Dangerous Don.  I happen to be one of the most successful stock market investors of all time.

Johnny:   Glad to be here.

Dangerous Don:   Lot of folks don’t know this, but Scranton is on its way to becoming the financial hub of our entire Lackawanna County megamarket. . . . .

Johnny:   I said, I'm glad to be here too.

Dangerous Don:   And we’re blogging direct from our worldwide corporate headquarters in downtown Scranton.
Johnny:  Actually. . . . we're in Dunmore.  On Argyle Street.  Maybe twenty minutes from downtown.

Dangerous Don:   Sooo. . . . . . moving right along!

Johnny:   Sitting in Don's kitchen.
Dangerous Don:  Johnny. . . . . . I said MOVING RIGHT ALONG!

Johnny:  Okay, okay.

Dangerous Don:   First thing, I want to introduce my good friend and the co-host of this blog, Johnny Doorknob.  One of the most famous and influential and highly-regarded financial gurus in Scranton.
Johnny:  Actually, just Don's next-door neighbor. 
Dangerous Don:  Ahh. . . . . okay, so. . . . . MOVING RIGHT ALONG.    The purpose of this blog is to teach the folks out there about Macho Investing.   Warren Buffett, Donald Trump. . . . . hey, all the big-time heavy-hitters are Macho Investors.

Johnny:   So, big deal. . . . Buffett, Shmuffett. . . . . . why don't you talk about yourself, Don?

Dangerous Don:   Almost forgot!   I'm Dangerous Don, the original Macho Investor.  Creator and inventor of the entire Macho Investing concept.  And. . . 

Johnny:  "Macho" sounds pretty darn macho.

Dangerous Don:   It is.

Johnny:  So. . . . . like, what's your advice for women investors?

Dangerous Don:  "Macho" means male.  As opposed to female.   Enough said.

Tana Marie:  Sometimes, Don. . . . you know something?. . . . you're just a jerk and a half!

Dangerous Don:   Folks. . . . that lovely voice you just heard. . . . that's my lovely wife, Tana Marie.  Who right now is giving Johnny and me these delicious poached eggs on toast.  Breakfast while blogging.

Tana Marie:   My two cents?  Day trading isn't a job.   It's a disease.

Johnny:  These eggs are delicious.  In a word, delicious.

Dangerous Don:   And Macho Investors have no patience with guys who just pretend to be guys.

Johnny:   Wow!  What the heck does that mean?

Dangerous Don:   I mean girlie men.  When you're a Macho Investor, you can't be a girlie man.  Everything you've saved up has to be completely at risk.  All the time.  Every day.

Johnny:   So. . . . . . ?

Dangerous Don:  Cowards need not apply.

Tana Marie:  And no more Enrons!

Dangerous Done:  OUCH!

Johnny:  A sore point!

Dangerous Don:   A very sore point!   Folks, what my lovely wife Tana Marie is talking about is that little incident. . . . . . back when FORTUNE Magazine wrote about Enron.  Okay, so. . . . . . what happened was. . . . . FORTUNE Magazine honored Enron as the "Most Innovative Company in America".   That was  in 2001.   February, 2001.

Johnny:  I remember.

Dangerous Don:   So. . . . . wouldn't ya know it. . . . . . after reading that article in FORTUNE, I moved as much cash as I could into Enron stock. 

Johnny:  Big mistake.

Dangerous Don:   Big mistake!   Unfortunately, Enron went bankrupt later on that year.  December, 2001.
Johnny:   So. . . . . Don. . . . give us a two-sentence summary of Macho Investing.
Dangerous Don:   Rule Number One.   When the market is hot,  you gotta be right there in the middle of the action, right?
Johnny:   You say that.  I don’t.
Dangerous Don:   Okay. . . . . so I guess we ought to explain to the folks out there.   Johnny and me have two different strategies about investing.  But we’re going to talk about that later, okay?
Johnny:  Okay.
Dangerous Don:   So. . . . . okay. . . . that’s Rule Number One.
Johnny:  And Rule Number Two?
Dangerous Don:  When the market is sick, you got to get out. . . . . and I mean fast!
Johnny:  So. . . . . just so I understand. . . . . when the market is hot?
Dangerous Don:   Buy!   You can't be sitting on the sidelines when the market is hot.
Johnny:  And when the market stinks?
Dangerous Don:  Sell!   When the market has been heading south for months, you're crazy to stick around.  When that happens, the market is just sick.   We're talking ER.  Intensive care.
Johnny:   So. . . . when the market is up?
Dangerous Don:   Buy!
Johnny: And when the market is down?
Dangerous Don:   Sell!
Johnny:   High?
Dangerous Don:   Buy!
Johnny:   Low?
Dangerous Don:  Sell!
Johnny:  So that’s it?   Buy High, Sell Low?
Dangerous Don:   You got it.  Buy High, Sell Low.  The basic secret of Macho Investing.
Johnny:  Some secret.
Dangerous Don:   Actually, the real secret is even simpler.   Just keep looking for risk.  Show people you've got guts.   Let people know what you're made of.   BE DANGEROUS!
Johnny:   Maybe you could show the folks that chart you’re holding in your hand.
Dangerous Don:  Well, actually the transcript won’t show the chart.  So I’ll just describe it.   This chart shows the stock price of Turtle Tweeks Digital over the last year.  Lemme tell you, this is one hot, hot stock!

Marie:  Just oozing testosterone. . . . .
Johnny:   There's always a few good stocks.  Problem is. . . . . world is so darn complicated. . . . . there's no way to pick the winners five years ahead.
Dangerous Don:   Johnny, if you had bought this stock five weeks ago, and sold it six and a half days later, you’d be sitting on a 30% return.  In just six and a half days!
Johnny:   You bought it?
Dangerous Don:   Yep.   But. . . . actually, I sold a little late.

Tana Marie:   Surprise!  Surprise!
Johnny:   So. . . . I guess we’ll talk more about timing the market next time, right?
Dangerous Don:   Right you are!   Folks, unfortunately, we’re out of time. So long, everybody!   Hope you enjoyed our discussion, and maybe even learned something.

Johnny:   Don. . . . . I want to congratulate you on your first MACHO INVESTING post!

Dangerous Don:   Thank you, sir!

Johnny:  What's the take-away?

Dangerous Don:   Same as always.   Same thing I've been saying for years.   You got to take risks!   Don't be afraid of long odds! 

Tana Marie:  You're the odds.  We're the evens.

Dangerous Don:  In investing, you gotta BE DANGEROUS!   Never pass up a chance to do something dangerous!   When I walk out on the trading floor, people are afraid of me!   I like that!

Johnny:  Sounds like a pretty risky game. . . . . 

Dangerous Don:  That's the whole point!    Remember what all the finance books will tell you.   And I've read them all.   Risk Equals Reward.    So obviously, THE BIGGER THE RISK, THE BIGGER THE REWARD!

Johnny:   Don, you went bankrupt four years ago, because you believed in. . . .

Tana Marie:   I told him!   I told him a thousand times!    

Johnny:   . . . . . . that kind of garbage.

Dangerous Don:   Sooo. . . . . . moving right along. . . . . folks, see you next time!  

Johnny:   See you next time!

Dangerous Don:  Stay tuned to the MACHO INVESTING blog.  Believe me, you’re going make a ton. . . . and I mean a TON. . . of money!